These 2 teams play close to the same pace based on shots per game at 54 for Bradley & 58 for GW. Bradley has a slightly better shooting % at 43% to 41% for George Washington. They both are allowing 41% on defense with Bradley slightly better in the points allowed department allowing 1.3ppg less than GW does. That's what every recreational better is reading and most likely the reason they are betting on Bradley. Whatwe see is that GW has 5 losses against some very tough teams (Syracuse, Loyola-MD, VCU, Kansas st & Cal) as those teams are a combined 38-7su record wise so far on the season. They were dogs in 4 out of those 5 games. We also like the fact that both of these teams have had trouble beating the spread as Bradley is 1-5ats and GW is 2-6ats. We believe Bradley is not beating the spreads because they are truly not a good team this year as they haven't improved much form last years 12 win team. While George Washington seems to be victims of some very tough losses in route to their 2-6ats record. It seems to us that laying the points here at home has some value tonight with the Colonials.

 

 

 

 

The Jags are coming off of a convincing win last week at home vs Tampa Bay. But who did they really convince as Tampa Bay has been nothing short of a complete disappointment this year as they are just 4-9 straight up and 4-9 ats ranking at the back half of the NFL in rushing defense (28th) & passing defense (27th). Tampa also coughed up the football 6 times losing 4 of them as 2 of the those fumble recoveries were returned for TD's. The week prior to the Tampa game Jacksonville was out gained 433 to 306 by the Chargers and 2 weeks prior to that game the Jaguars allowed 148 yards rushing to the leagues 29th ranked rushing offense (Cleveland) in a 14-10 loss to a very bad offense. Also what was most alarming to me was the Jaguars have allowed tight ends to tear apart their defense this year. In the 5 road games the Jaguars have allowed TE's to catch 34 passes for 387 yards and 3 TD's. That's pretty scary knowing that the Jaguars secondary is in shambles with a healthy Julio Jones & Roddy White running down the sideline's in an offense that features Tony Gonzalez who has 73 catches for 812 yards & 7 TD's. Falcons have the 5th ranked run defense to help contain MJD (The Jaguars only weapon) and that Jaguars pass offense scares no one in this league right now sitting dead last averaging just 140ypg. Too much talent in the passing game in this one and we seen what San Diego did to the Jaguars just 2 weeks ago when they were at a complete low on the season.