All this stats are mostly based on a Miami Heat team that was having Dwyane Wade there, but Miami's bench is better that LA's. Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in their last South Beach trips, and 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings. It will be a game between one of the best defenses in the league (LAL) and one of the best and fast offenses in the game (MIA). Lakers will surely have the rebounding edge here, as both Gasol and Bynum should dominate the boards, but we dont thin LA can keep up with the heat. One factor here is the Lakers road play. They have played 10 home games this season (11 including the Clippers game) and on the road they've lost at Sacramento, at Denver, at Portland, "at" the Clippers, and won in OT at Utah, being outscored 495-458, allowing at least 99 points in those 4 losses.
We are taking the Heat here because James, Bosh and maybe Miller could score in bunches here, and Miami's bench is better. We dont care about Bryants 40 pts/night, as he is taking too many shots and is ignoring his team. Wew got to go with a LeBron James that likes to dominate, he's not forced to share the ball with Wade, and Bosh we think will be pleased to be upgraded from the 3rd option to the 2nd.
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